Don wrote:It is just me, but I personally think Jose Reyes is overhyped New York type of player. He should have a better on base percentage and better hitter for the type of player he is suppose to at earlier stages in his career. Injuries could zap his one greatest strenght in speed. What happens at that point?
He would be a great table setter along with Brian Roberts for a one-two punch, but you also have to pay him huge dollars and another contract down the road. It will require teams to unload quality young talent and prospects.
If they wanted to bring his game to the Orioles, you are better off paying Carl Crawford the money required to join the Orioles, but Crawford still has alot of growth at the plate as his increase in numbers sugggest.
Ask yourself, why in the world do the Mets want to unload a young premium position player? It is because he is no longer the type of player everyone thought 4 years ago.
I'm not sure that this is as simple as you suggest. Frankly, I think they see a couple of things going on: he's only under contract for one more year, makes a decent amount of money, and plays a premium position. They know he'll demand a ton of money on the FA market, and they know they can't resign him. The Mets have a long way to go in order to compete, and Reyes is likely to bring back a decent package of prospects.
If they lose him to FA, they get two picks. So, really, that's their thought. They need to weigh: (A) the value of Reyes to the Mets for one year, discounted by their probability of competing. (B) The value of Reyes on the trade market. And (C) the value of Reyes as a FA (the expected value of two picks). It's really a choice between ((A) + (C)) or (B), because they get the value next year + the two free agents.
Still, the odds are very good that (B) is where they can maximize Reyes' value. They just need to see what the offers are to make sure.
I mean, I agree that Reyes star has dimmed a bit. He clearly doesn't make sense for the O's unless he's going to extend (which is doubtful). No reason to give up multiple prospects even for a player who may be very good, if he's going to be very good only for a single a year in which the team is highly unlikely to compete.