Ampontan wrote:Matt P wrote:Let's face it, this team isn't competing this season or next season. Neither of these guys are going to be on the next Orioles playoff team (if there ever is one) so there is no reason to hang onto them.
I've never understood this logic. At all. The constant roster churning resulting from an assumption you're not going to be in the playoffs is one sure way to consistent 90-game losing seasons and never getting in the playoffs. (The Marlins are a rare exception.)
The Orioles still have to play a 162-game season and sell tickets, food, and merchandise to entertain the fans, most of whom don't obsess over trades. They're supposed to put a good product on the field now. That doesn't necessarily mean playoffs. Climbing back to respectability --- and, more important, staying there --- requires one step at a time, which means .500 first. Having a player hit 35-40 home runs is a good way to get there.
As for getting to .500, they could most definitely be there this year, absent serious injuries (such as hobbled the team last year with Scott and Roberts). The continued development of Matusz and Arrieta, along with good results from Chen and Wada, could certainly make things interesting next year.
As for trading Reynolds or Gregg or both, I'm fine with that, depending on the return. All major league teams have players like that they want to unload, that might fit in better elsewhere.
This team isn't reaching .500 unless multiple young players all take HUGE steps forward this year. Even if they do, .500 is the best anyone can realistically hope for. They aren't going to win enough games to be in contention for a WC spot. Winning 81 games doesn't mean anything so I'm not sure why that would be a goal. The O's best bet at having a real future is to get rid of anyone on the current 25 man that will not be a part of the team in 2014 and beyond and stockpile the minor leagues with as much talent as they can get. It seems like Duquette knows what he's doing in terms of player development so get some talent and let it develop.