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FanGraphs: Contract Extension Comps for Adam Jones

FanGraphs: Contract Extension Comps for Adam Jones

PostPost #1 by Jordan Tuwiner » February 17th, 2012, 10:51 pm

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.ph ... dam-jones/

If I was the Orioles, I’d use Markakis’s deal as a general framework for an extension with Jones, but look to shave off some money and structure the tail-end similar to Alex Rios’s deal. At $11-13 million, the Orioles would be paying Jones a little bit less than market-rate if he remains at a +2.5 win level, and they would get themselves a bargain if Jones ever broke out. Of course, they would also take on some risk in case Jones regresses, but considering his sustained success at the majors thus far, he seems like a relatively safe bet.

Would this sort of a deal be attractive enough to keep Jones from pushing through to free agency? That’s impossible for us to say, but the Orioles should at least try because he likely won’t get any easier to convince going forward.

What kind of extension would you be willing to give Jones?
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Re: FanGraphs: Contract Extension Comps for Adam Jones

PostPost #2 by ofahn » February 17th, 2012, 11:02 pm

Jordan wrote:What kind of extension would you be willing to give Jones?


I wouldn't. I'm just not sold on his self discipline.

I see his best value to the team as currency to add two or three very solid prospects.
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Re: FanGraphs: Contract Extension Comps for Adam Jones

PostPost #3 by Jordan Tuwiner » February 17th, 2012, 11:07 pm

ofahn wrote:
Jordan wrote:What kind of extension would you be willing to give Jones?


I wouldn't. I'm just not sold on his self discipline.

I see his best value to the team as currency to add two or three very solid prospects.

I'd also much rather trade him, but if you had to give him a contract extension how would it look?

I'd say 5 years, $55-60 million seems about right.
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Re: FanGraphs: Contract Extension Comps for Adam Jones

PostPost #4 by ofahn » February 17th, 2012, 11:12 pm

Jordan wrote:I'd say 5 years, $55-60 million seems about right.


Yeah, that's about market value but I would NOT back load it. I have concerns about his out years and it would be easier to move that contract if it didn't have a "salary bomb" on the back end.
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Re: FanGraphs: Contract Extension Comps for Adam Jones

PostPost #5 by Matt P » February 19th, 2012, 4:56 pm

5/60 is the most I would go.
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