A_K wrote:My expectations remain low, based on what I've seen with my own eyes at the big league level. I think birdwatcher55's reaction is normal based on how amazingly frustrating it's been to watch Tillman pitch as an Oriole.
That said, 69-win teams with few high-level pitching prospects to speak of, little budget to improve the staff via free agency and virtually no hope whatsoever to contend in the upcoming year should never be in the business of giving up on 23-year-old, former top prospect who just came off a 3.99 FIP, 1.0 WAR season.
You need to set aside the emotional reaction, the disappointment and frustration emanating from the difference between what he was supposed to be and what he's actually been, and be willing to assess dispassionately the situation as it currently stands. What we have right now is a very young starting pitcher who has had a very inconsistent start to his career. If his velocity doesn't improve it's a near certainty that he won't pan out. But it's entirely possible that his velocity will improve, along with his control, and that he'll become a worthwhile asset after all. It certainly wouldn't be the first occurrence of its kind.
What are the alternatives? And in a season that's doomed to result in 90 losses even before it begins, what do we have to lose?
Great post, And I agree with everything you said.
I would assume that the Orioles are thinking along the same lines.
The thing about Tillman to me is this: I expect him to be in better shape by ST, so give him a full chance to stick in the rotation, and if he struggles, then you look at the possibility of trading him or keeping him in AAA.
I think by Opening day the big picture will be a lot more clear, but as of now Tillman is still on the outside looking in.
Tillman's chances could largely be affected by Jim Johnson and Alfredo Simon staying in the rotation as well.