ofahn wrote:Signing a player like Cespedes would be the big splash that ownership may want to make this winter so that they can prove to the fans that they are willing to spend what is necessary to win AND also prove that they are serious about becoming players in the international market. Beyond that, it might actually make sense economically.
Let's suppose the Orioles sign Prince Fielder for 8/185 which is about what I think he will go for. At least 2 years and 50M of that contract will almost certainly be a bad investment and by the time we can rebuild with what's in the farm system now Fielder will be on the down slide of his career. Now let's suppose that we sign Cespedes for 7 years and 45M. Even if he's a complete bust we've lost LESS money than the write off portion of Fielder's contract. But, if he's ONLY the next Mike Cameron (good CF with power but bad avg.) he's a bargain at today's prices. If he's an all star we get a serious bargain, and we get the good years of his contract when they can contribute to a winner.
Signing Cespedes (along with other international talent like Soler) combined with a major rebuilding trade gives us a chance to become a serious contender by 2014, and going all in on developing a first class farm system will make us a winner for a very long time.
The fans are looking for a sign. Players like Cespedes can be a cost effective way for the organization to put its money where its mouth is.
Why would this be a bad investment on Fielder at age 35?? Ortiz is still productive at 36. To the contrary, I think signing Fielder, who at age 27 is not even in the middle of his prime, represents a far better gamble then throwing money at a Cuban import who has never seen a Major League pitch