A_K wrote:spreading it around to a few dozen 18 year old prospects
I can understand your desire to bring in high upside prospevts but I don't understand your fixation on "18 year old" ones. Just because a player is 18 does not necessarily
mean he's a better prospect than a 21 year old college player.
I was opposed to choosing Hobgood with the first pick of 2009 NOT because he was a bad choice, but because we had our choice of some very good college pitchers that would have cost us more but would have been MLB ready in a few years. Mike Leake and Mike Minor were two good examples. At the time our upper level pitching prospects were Matusz, Arrieta, Tillman, and Bergesen. Some people saw that as the rotation of the future and didn't see a need to focus on near MLB ready pitching. History continues to teach us that one of every two upper level "can't miss" pitching prospects actually DO MISS. Of those four pitchers which ones would you bet your mortgage payment on will be a productive member of the 2012 rotation?
We may have selected the best pitching prospect of the 2011 draft in Dylan Bundy. That being said, I would have chosen Danny Hultzen if he was available because he will probably be ready to start in the ML at some point in 2012. A reasonable schedule for Bundy is late 2013 or 2014. The Orioles go into next season looking for pitching as usual
with very little in the upper minors to fill the need. Until we have a solid and reliable rotation of pitchers under thirty AND some quality pitching prospects in AAA waiting for their shot at the majors, I think we should focus on the best quality college pitchers available that have a reasonable chance to be productive in the starting rotation within a year or so of being drafted. If you have enough quality pitching to spare you can always trade for something better.