Don wrote:You should be glad the Orioles have the 4th slot this year. I have a group of 5 that are above the other classes and the only issue would be in one of the top three go against my thoughts and would leave 3 to choose from at this point.
Cole - Plus-Plus fastball, Plus-Plus Change up and working on two other pitches that are average at this time. I think he has a good chance of solid three plus pitches. As I said in previous write ups about him, I would teach him a cutter and I think he is completely sound to be a future Cy Young candidate.
Rendon - I am not worried about injuries, see Jeff Neimann, and think long term he is a solid +.300 hitter with an eye and gym rat to continue to work aspects that might make him a top 10 hitter long term. I think he build on his frame and I do not see why his gap power would not turn to home run capacity. I thought last season he was a a guy with the chance at +30, but still not too shabby to be a +20 that he could play any position on the infield. I think his arm is underrated and logically I feel that he will stay at third. Him moving to second on the other hand will increase his value.
Bundy - I have not seen a high school kid since Josh Beckett with this much going for him at his age. People can have Tallion because Bundy is a work horse that already has base knowledge of how to pitch. This kid is above a JUCO pitcher and well close to what you see out of a Junior in College. He will have the chance for at least two plus or better pitches and four pitches above major league average.
Bauer - I am not concerned mechanically or about his workload at this time. His stuff is no less appreciable compare to the already mentioned cast. He does not get it up to their speed, but 96-97 is nothing to sneeze at this time. He does have command and control problems, but I feel it is correctable longterm.
Archie Bradley - The kid can drop the hammer and has a triple digit fastball to match. I am a bit concerned about the work ethic and he will take longer to adjust to the professional game. I have to remember that he is simply a kid and should adjust as he matures. He is my dark horse selection for the Orioles.
Don wrote:Cole is basically a two pitch pitcher right now. He uses the combo of 4 seam and 2 seam. He mixes pressure on the fingers to produce a sink on the two seamer or a cut on the two seamer, but the movement is not sharp enough to classify either as a set type of pitch. His 4 seamer is a good grab 96-97 and will reach triple digits. I tend to think he can sit with his 95-96 range as a starter with better command and maybe a tick better control. He still throws a slider and you can see the wrist snap. Up close, it can look like a cutter live because he still needs to work on his consistency. On the digital feeds, I can zoom in rather close to see it. I think we both agree that his ceiling is the same, but I think he still needs to refine his overall repitore to think he has a full arsenal of plus stuff.
I think I might be the only person to openly say anything about Bradley's slow start. I know a lot of people within his area and others that I talked to we agree that his youth is still in his game. He enjoys being a kid and it is okay. I get the feeling that when it is time to bring the lunch pail to work, he will right the ship. I like him a lot, if Cole and Bundy are off the board, but in all honesty I would not think to high or low if one of the top 12 on my board are selected.
I would like to see one of the grouped five selected. These are the ones with safer levels, but higher ceilings. I really like Danny Hultzen and Sonny Gray, but Hultzen is the type you can find any draft and there are a number of high school LHP in this class that project to become his type of pitcher. Gray could be a starter or could be a relief pitcher. I simply do not get the feel that will be an elite arm over others in this class. Jack Armstrong could bring similar results and at a fraction of the cost. Both Jungmann and Meyer have converted me this season to think both could be quality pitchers. I do not hold Lindor or Starling in my top 12 and feel there are other players that could be just as good or better long term without the risk involved with turing raw tools into skills.
The one guy I would be shocked to see picked, but also happy is Josh Bell. I think he is raw, but I see a lot less refinements in his swing to think his learning curve is not as long as the previous mentioned two high schoolers.
Don wrote:I have seen him live 5 times in the past two years and I know what I am talking about, plus see my write up that I complied through my first hand and well into the over 15 starts on pro scout DVD. I know fully well that he has a slider, but I think it has a fair bit of work to be considered the best in the majors and that is what plus-plus is taking into account.
allstar1579 wrote:Matusz's command was greatly overrated coming out of college
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