Seafordeagles wrote:Like they said on the game last week. If Brian can come close to what he's done when he's healthy it would be like signing a very good free agent. If I remember correctly there weren't any better options in free agency for 2nd baseman this year.
This requires ignoring two things that can't be ignored: 1. serious injuries tend to have lasting effects on players, and 2. Roberts is now 35 years old, so even if he had remained healthy should be expected to see deterioration in all of his skill levels.
I have a hard time giving any credence to projections for a player coming back from an injury AND I was under the impression that Kelly Johnson was somewhat defensively challenged. Does anyone have stats that say something different?
That's fine. Just now that your opinion is based on blind faith, not evidence.
A_K wrote:That means Roberts has been a bad defender along with a bad hitter in each season after 2008. It also means he's been worse than Johnson in each of those seasons. And it's downright terrifying to think about how bad he was at defense last season, given how few games he played while putting up such an ugly defensive number.
Nobody has evidence because you "have to play the game" and please no more zip quotes and war quotes. Projections mean absolutely nothing, these stat projections are totally blind faith.
ofahn wrote:For argument's sake let's say that those stats MIGHT predict this year's performance.
ofahn wrote:Casilla and Flaherty will be better defenders than Roberts, Johnson, or most of the other 2B we could have obtained over the winter. I would rather have good defense at 2B before the extra few OPS points of a Kelly Johnson.
Projections are not gospel, no one can predict the future, and WAR is not a perfect stat. I've said this twice so far today.
But to say that we don't know anything, that projections mean "absolutely nothing" and that projections are "totally blind faith" is not only demonstrably wrong but also willfully ignorant. Feel free to live in the dark, but don't pretend that everyone is blind as well.
If I smoke the rest of my life, I might not get lung cancer. But we do know-- for a fact-- that smoking increases your risk of getting cancer.
The blind faith quote was because you said that to me. I guess I'll move my ignorant self on..................
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