What the Nationals just payed for Soriano is ABSURD. I would hesitate to call any move the franchise that gave Jayson Werth a 7 year $126 million contract an intelligent financial decision, nor do I think that accurately represents the market for a proven closer (if that IS the current market for a proven closer that just gives the Orioles MORE reason to trade Johnson while the market overvalues him).
Saves/blown saves have value in evaluating a closer but they should not be the primary metric taken into consideration in that evaluation. Some much better indicators of FUTURE success for any
pitcher are whiff rates, GB %, BB %, HR rates, etc. Jim Johnson does quite well in all of those categories but not to the point where he should essentially be untouchable. It is widely accepted that relievers are the most volatile commodity in baseball and considering the O's outstanding bullpen depth, Johnson should be considered a good trade candidate. Not saying they should get rid of him at all costs but his value is probably the highest it will ever be at this point taking into consideration his recent success, age, and contract.
Jon Morosi just posted a nice piece mentioning some good reasons as to why he believes the Orioles SHOULD trade Johnson for Porcello if the opportunity presented itself. http://mlbbuzz.yardbarker.com/blog/mlbb ... o/12661444