dan72 wrote:I hate to brake up the love fest for Smoak but here are some statistics that need brought to our attention
-prior to 2013 he has never had an OBP above .323
-prior to 2013 he has never hit for an AVG above .234
-he strikes out alot, 91,105 and 111 the last three years in limited AB's. this year he has 82 SO, yet he has 130 less AB's than his everyday starting peers.
-in his career he has never had more than 55 RBI's
-prior to 2013 his highest WAR was 0.8
In 2013 he will earn $514,000 and he is arbitraition eligible in 2014 where he will no doubt get a raise. Still to my point he will be cheap to obtain. He is not FA eligible until 2017. My point in presenting these stats is to show that prior to this season he has had a very slow start to his career to put it kindly. He has had a nice 2013 and yes he does rank 7-10 in most offensive categories. If we were playing moneyball yes he does have a nice OBP this year. I just don't see where a part time 1b/dh at 3-4 million per season is a smart move, that is essentially what he is since he would not start against LHP.
Maybe the Orioles interest in Smoak is partially a plan to persuade Wieters to stay? That would be brilliant strategy.
1. The word "prior" was used in several of those statistics. Hardly any young players come to the majors and show their true talent level right away. Yasiel Puig will not hit .376 in the majors, or likely anything close to it. Cliff Lee didn't show his true ability until age 29. The light finally switched for Chris Davis this year in his sixth season. Many players need time to show what kind of player they really are. In this case, it seems like Justin Smoak has finally turned his potential into production in his fourth major league season. That's what young players do.
2. Okay, so Smoak strikes out alot. So does Chris Davis, yet nobody is complaining about him?
3. One does not have to use moneyball as a reason to site OBP as a valuable statistic. Batting average is just a component of on base percentage.
4. Buster Olney was speculating the Orioles might trade for Justin Smoak in DECEMBER of 2012, like SeafordEagles said. I guess it could have made sense from the outside, as Chris Davis was neither established as a hitter or a defender. Per Espn, Chris Davis was actually projected to regress offensively. I didn't really want to trade for him, because he wasn't a productive player yet, we had enough first base depth in the majors/minors, and it was time for Chris Davis to become a full-time first basemen.
5. In your previous post, you said it would be cheap to acquire Justin Smoak, yet now you are saying it was be cheap to obtain Justin Smoak. He would be cheap to obtain right now, but it would no be cheap to acquire on the best offensive first basemen in the game.