First, I don't think you're being argumentative. While I disagree with most of what you posted, you stated your well considered opinion in a logical and articulate way and I've given you a Rep Point for it. Now, allow me to explain WHY I disagree with you.
Old Sneakers wrote:I don't see any of the guys on the Orioles being in the same league as Grienke.
IMO you have over valued Greinke and undervalued some of our young starters. I certainly see Greinke as a quality SP. I would rate him as a solid #2 on a winning team. That being said I would not want him on the mound for a "must win" game. I just don't trust that he would arise to the occasion.
On the other hand, look at what some of OUR young SPs did this season when each and every game was crucial. Time after time they keep an inconsistent offense in the game and gave us a chance to win, and none of them will cost us 120 to 140M over the next six or seven years.
Old Sneakers wrote:One day perhaps Bundy will become that, but that's going to be his third or fourth year in the majors. Not next season certainly. Actually, I do not know that Bundy will even be in the rotation late next year. You may not see that before 2014.
I agree that Bundy SHOULD NOT BE a fixture in next year's rotation. He hasn't finished the development of his secondary pitches and the team wants to limit his innings next year. If we fail to bring back someone like Saunders to give Bundy a rotation spot we may end up a SP short in September when they shut Bundy down. That being said, I wouldn't be surprised to see Bundy become dominant early in his career. He has all of the stuff to be a star including the "want to".
Old Sneakers wrote:Is Greinke going to be expensive? Oh yeah! You betcha. Not Justin Verlander expensive but a big payroll hit nonetheless. I also think he's likely worth it for a 3-5 year deal. You won't get a guy of this nature to do 1 year. He's proven, healthy and durable. He will get the deal he wants.
Some team will be stupid enough to offer him six or seven years. NO THANK YOU.
Old Sneakers wrote:When DD said we need to look for a #1 starter I assumed he meant a TOR type, not another serviceable starter in the Jeremy Guthrie mold.
There may be an opportunity to get a TOR without the risk of a long term investment. We could trade for Jake Peavy and exercise his option. The White Sox will have to pay him 4M to decline his option. If they make him a qualifying offer they'll almost certainly get a 1st Rnd pick when another team signs him. IF we make the trade we could offer to take 20M of the 22M in salary (saving the Sox 2M) and give them the competitive balance draft pick we got for next season. The Sox will lose about ten slots of a draft pick and be ahead 2M. We get a SP that I see as the same quality as Greinke on a ONE year obligation and then can make the same qualifying offer next winter to get our draft pick back.
Greinke would cost 20M next season so the money is a wash and we're off the risk. I see that as win-win.
Old Sneakers wrote:Again, I do not think the team makes a big push for a big name free agent this season. Despite a great season in 2012 this team has loads of room for improvement. Depth is a strength. I do not think the talent level is. The team needs at LF, 2B and 1B and the rotation was in a constant state of change all year long. The team just as easily could have won 82 games.
I agree; however, I see the most practical solutions for those problems as in house options.