I like fangraphs, I am not putting them down. I'm not being critical of Alex for posting it. But there are holes in how they wrote up this article. Either your stacking talent and putting forth the positive and negative traits or you are doing what we do here: Pretending to be a general manager. Most of us know the team has serious holes in the minor leagues. Doing both is problematic.
Bundy: Shouldn't even be ranked. We do not know what he is at all. Let alone guess that he has the potential to be a #1 or #2 SP. We won't have any real clue what that might be until he's had a few starts in. Perhaps that is at the end of August.
Gauseman: He was over his head in 2013. The talent might be there but he's not ready to be a SP. Like so many others he's close but not there. He's got things to work on and should not be a serious consideration for the rotation to start 2014. I don't see him as the favorite to break spring training with the team. He's the fallback option.
Rodriguez: He's still got things to work on at AA before talking about pushing him to AAA. He's still only 20 years old. He's been hurried through the system as is. The article is already talking about major leagues in 2014. That is nuts! Do the Orioles base their decisions on articles like this? If not are we sure?
Schoop: I pretty much agree with what was said. The key being above average contributor, not all-star. The unrealistic hype Schoop received the past year or two is outrageous.
Harvey: He's eighteen years old. He's not made an appearance at low-A yet. How can you say he's got the potential to be a #2 or #3 starter? Talent and potential got him drafted. He made a handful of appearances in short season clubs. Let's wait and see what we have. For all we know he may need two seasons at Delmarva to build up stamina. It happens. Also I didn't see Stephen Tarpley
in the top 15. I just think it odd that too much emphasis is based upon draft position or raw potential.
Wright: I basically agree with the article. With the exception that it suggests he could be trade bait. Trade bait for what? Improved concession stands? The team has it's own need for young, inexpensive controllable pitching. Likely Wright is either a starter or closer. Why is trading him even a thought when ranking prospects? Readers see this will need to forgive me. I just consider mention of trading young pitching prospect away for minimum returns counter to what I thought the team was trying to do.
Berry: Essentially I agree. He's going to get his first taste of AA. This should ultimately decide if he's a starter or reliever down the road. Not how good he will be in his eventual role.
Ohlman: Agree with article. However, Ohlman's development and eventual role/ceiling shouldn't have much to do with how long Matt Weiters is under team control. If Weiters is traded or leaves via free agency. The team will have to have a Catcher that is major league ready on the team. Last I looked prospects aren't ready based on team need. Think Matusz, Arrieta, Tillman, Hernandez, Berken, Olsen etc... It literally never ends. Players are ready when they are ready.
Beyond this I think the rankings were based mainly off of other lists. Bobby Bundy
should be healthy this year and back in AA. Tyler Wilson
may not have wow stuff, but he can actually pitch. He as been disregarded too easily. Christian Walker
can hit and get on base. Plays a position that has a cloudy future (Thank you Chris Davis/Scott Boras) and could figure into the team's plans but gets no mention. Brandon Kline makes all the lists but has yet to do anything meaningful since he got drafted.
Zachary Davies has earned some mention for quietly working his way up. I support him. I just think he's getting the nod because he's survived a season at Frederick. If he's actually ready for AA, then promote him. I just worry that the promotion scale is still the same when Brandon Erbe
made it to AA. Move him up when he's ready please, elbows and shoulders are not options on new cars. I favor caution promoting pitching prospects at each level. Much the same when stacking and evaluating them.