The thing about Samardzija, is the best part of his year has already happened. 75 innings of 1.68 ERA is going to be the best section of his year. Although, his peripherals are still good, his FIP
(2.79) is more than a run higher than his ERA (1.68), so regression will come. For the remaining 125 innings or so of his year, Samardzija could pitch like an average pitcher, say a 4.00 ERA, and still finish with a 3.15 ERA. That would still be good for one of the best pitchers in the league. Hell, his 2012/2013 ERA was 4.10. Samardzija could pitch to a 5.472 ERA for the rest of the year and still finish with a 4.05 ERA, .05 points better than his last two seasons. What's more likely, he continues to pitch like he has been, or he regresses? How much of an upgrade will he really be? I understand the Orioles would control him for another season, but the objective of this trade would most likely to help the Orioles win now, which I'm not sure it would do a very good job of doing. Samardzija is a great pitcher. He's not an ace, but he's very good. He just doesn't have to be good the rest of the year in order to have a good year. Think Matt Garza in 2013. He pitched better than he is for the Cubs, and the Rangers paid the price.