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Orioles are interested in Adam LaRoche, but hesitant

Re: Orioles are interested in Adam LaRoche, but hesitant

PostPost #16 by ofahn » December 19th, 2012, 2:45 pm

A_K wrote:I'm well acquainted with the old cliche as well. I mostly find it to be a kernel of truth that's misused in order for people to continue holding their pre-held beliefs even in the face of evidence to the contrary.

Some players have great years before free agency. Some have bad years. Some players' production regresses after signing big contracts. Others' doesn't. What the contract year myth does is take perfectly normal variations in a player's year-to-year productivity and attach an easily understood narrative to it.

"Subjective" narratives are like paranoia; often they're more valid that you would expect.
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